Our Civil Aircraft Forecast covers the rivalry between Airbus and Boeing in the large airliner sector; the emergence of new players in the regional aircraft segment looking to compete with Bombardier, Embraer, and ATR; the shifting dynamics within the business jet market as aircraft such as the Bombardier Global 7500, Dassault Falcon 6X, and Gulfstream G600 enter service; and the various market factors propelling the general aviation/utility segment as Textron Aviation, Cirrus, Diamond, Piper, and a host of others battle for sales and market share.
An annual subscription includes 70+ individual reports, each with a 10-year unit production forecast. Product comes complete with four Market Segment Analyses, covering the markets for:
Also included are seven appendices providing complementary historical production data, a listing of airliner orders and options, consolidated production statistics tables, and other pertinent complementary data.
Key Findings:
2018-2032 global unit production forecast to be 70,581 aircraft, valued at $4.9 trillion.
Boeing holds the greatest value market share at 44.6%, followed by Airbus at 33.8%
Civil Aircraft Forecast Guides Your Decision-Making by Providing:
In-depth overviews of principal market motivators and constraints.
Coverage of the competitive landscape, coupled with strategic insights.
News on recent developments and on the challenges facing the industry.
Regional highlights.
Reasons to Buy Our Products and Services:
FI provides world-class quality results in the most cost-effective way, allowing you to focus strictly on the global market in terms of demand drivers, industry trends, and the latest technological developments.
Platinum is the only source that provides global 15-year forecasts and 10-year historical data.
We offer unmatched convenience. Our online and Platinum individual reports, analyses, and appendices are provided in Microsoft® Word for fast downloading and printing. Our unit and value
production forecasts are provided as Excel spreadsheets for easy data manipulation.
Forecast International stands alone in providing EMarket Alerts on breaking industry news and recent developments as a standard feature of all subscriptions. These Alerts are a popular companion to our market
intelligence services.
Our online market intelligence products and services are available on demand, allowing global access 24/7 via an assigned email address and password.
We offer online data delivery solutions ranging from single, identified user(s) via email address and password to unlimited worldwide corporate utilization via an exclusive Web portal.
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Who Should Buy FI Market Intelligence Products and Services?
Business Development Directors
CEOs
Component Suppliers
Consulting Firms
Contractors (primary and subcontractors)
COOs
Engineers
Government Entities
Investment Firms
OEMs
Research and Development Firms
Sales & Marketing Directors
Vice Presidents
About Forecast International:
Throughout our 45-year history, the keys to our success have been the ability to acquire highly relevant and current information from diverse sources around the world, and comprehensively process
and intelligently interpret the data in order to perform critical, detailed qualitative and quantitative analyses.
Our proprietary databases, continuously updated, contain vast amounts of exclusive global market intelligence information, technical specifications, and market statistics.
Forecast International analysts, researchers and consultants bring an unparalleled depth of knowledge and perspective to their work. Our goal is to provide you with the market intelligence you need to make
sound business decisions quickly and accurately, in the most cost-effective way.
PRODUCT FEATURES
Program Review – A review of program milestones and significant recent developments.
Production Forecasts – Choose either a 10-year or a
15-year unit and value of production forecast of the probable market by
designation/system/program, broken out by year. Our 10-year forecasts are
available in Binder, DVD, and Real-Time while our 15-year forecasts are
available exclusively in our Platinum Forecast System ®.
Platinum Forecast System®– 15-year forecasts presented with
10-years of historical production allow client to select a spectrum of up to
25 years of data. 26 modules to choose from. For more information click here.
Forecast Rationale – Details the reasoning used by the
Analyst to derive the numerical forecast.
Timetable – A synopsis of key historical events that have
shaped the program, plus anticipated dates of future milestones.
Technical, Performance & Pricing Data – Multi-sourced
data is provided in U.S. & International standard measurements, as
applicable.
Variants – Detailed descriptions of all system variants
and their differences and similarities.
Upgrades – Provides the status of retrofit and
modernization programs under way or planned (where applicable).
Contracts – Government/industry contracts that impact
sales and production of the subject platform or system.
Funding – For military programs, specific funding
appropriated/authorized for RDT&E & production (when available).
WorldwideDistribution – How many have
been sold worldwide, and to whom.
Inventories – Listed by specific
designation/variant. Includes quantities by operator/branch of service and
count.
Contractors – Primes and subcontractors. Contains contact
information (address, phone, fax, Web, email) and system/component
manufactured.
Orders & Options – Reported orders, options,
cancellations and deferrals, with details on customers and delivery
schedule.
ADDITIONAL SERVICE FEATURES
Market Segment Analyses Market Segment Analyses explore the key programs and
players in niche market segments, and provide a comprehensive review of the
competitive dynamics of the individual segments. Typically, Analyses provide an
in-depth discussion of the principal market motivators and
constraints, unit and value of production forecasts, and numerous tables
and graphs depicting the projected market trends and the shares of the
participating firms. Each Analysis is accompanied by an MS® Excel
Workbook containing expanded spreadsheets and statistical tables, plus
corresponding manufacturer data and supporting graphics.
Supplements and Service Updates All Intelligence Service
reports, analyses and appendices are updated via regular supplementation. In
addition, special Interim Updates are issued periodically to cover dynamic
program developments. As an added feature, each supplement is accompanied
by a Highlights report summarizing key developments and providing editorial
comment and perspective.
Statistical & Graphical MS® Excel Workbook
Presentations Regardless of the publishing format selected,
subscribers to most of our Market Intelligence Services receive
consolidated unit and value spreadsheets detailing the production forecasts
in MS® Excel Workbooks. These invaluable tools provide a
cross-section outlook of the market and enable users to perform their own custom
calculations.
Emarket Alert Newsletter As a subscriber to our Market
Intelligence forecast products, you will receive a custom-tailored newsletter providing the
latest news on your market of interest. Twice weekly, we will
email you a sampling of featured articles. The abstracted articles
in this email represent only a portion of the news and information
available in our EMarket Alert newsletters.
Query Service - Talk To Our Analysts Although each of our
Market Intelligence Services provides comprehensive market coverage, you may
occasionally require additional information or clarification. Your private
“Client Query Number” allows immediate access to our Analysts via email or
toll-free phone number. Contact information for each of the Analysts is
provided in supplemental updates that are sent at regular intervals.
This product provides comprehensive coverage of cargo conversions, re-engining programs, service-life extensions, fleet-wide electronics retrofits, digital cockpit upgrades, and the installation of in-flight
entertainment systems. It offers a one-stop service for tracking the status of commercial and military R&M programs in progress worldwide, and pinpoints key developments in the aviation industry that will impact the
market in the future.
An annual subscription to this group library comes complete with four Market Intelligence Services containing 230+ individual reports, 18 Market Segment Analyses, 3 Excel spreadsheets containing unit and value production data, and 30 appendices.
Military Aircraft Forecast reports on fixed-wing military aircraft of all types – fighters, military transports, military trainers, and special mission aircraft – worldwide. Full coverage of leading programs such as the Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF), the Dassault Rafale, the Saab Gripen, the Airbus A400M, the Beechcraft T-6, the Embraer Super Tucano, the Pilatus PC-21, and the Boeing KC-46A, among others.
Rotorcraft Forecast provides complete coverage of the worldwide rotorcraft market, ranging from two-seat pistons such as the Robinson R22 up to giant turbine helicopters such as the Mil Mi-26. Also included is
coverage of tiltrotor aircraft such as the Leonardo AW609 and Bell/Boeing V-22 Osprey. Both the military and civil markets are covered. Due to the nature of present-day conflict, rotorcraft acquisition continues to be
a priority for the world's militaries. And the civil market, despite some current difficulties, has considerable long-term potential.
Presented within this market study is a year-by-year production forecast of
business jet aircraft currently in production or expected to enter production
within the next 10 years. These individual forecasts are the result of an
exhaustive macro-level examination of the market as well as a competitive
analysis of individual business jet models versus their direct and indirect
competitors.
This analysis addresses the upgrade and conversion retrofit market segments as they apply to the commercial and military transport aircraft sectors. It covers primarily planned programs, defined as those for which funding has been allocated, contracts have been awarded, or development is underway. The discussion and computations do not include scheduled maintenance and overhaul.
This Market Segment Analysis is extracted directly from our Airborne Retrofit & Modernization Forecast and is designed to provide insightful analysis of niche segments at economical
prices. Clients receive the analysis in PDF format via email. The analysis includes 10-year detailed R&M value pie charts for various segments, including (where applicable) Airframes, Propulsion, Electronics, and Armament. The charts provide data by modification as well as platform.
Also provided are in-depth overviews of the principal market motivators and constraints.
Although many countries are cutting their defense budgets, the outlook for
fighters remains stable. Worldwide, industrialized nations are currently
in the process of a major re-equipment cycle, and the long-term nature of
fighter procurement programs will shelter production of these aircraft from the
effects of the financial crisis. This analysis covers the market for fighter
aircraft in terms of both units to be produced and the value of the overall
market. The market for jet trainers, some of which are also used as attack
aircraft, is covered in the Analysis titled "The M
This analysis identifies areas of opportunity in the fighter/attack/trainer aircraft R&M market. In general, the programs most likely to succeed over the next decade are those that are affordable and that offer effective solutions to modern military concerns.
This analysis covers general aviation/utility aircraft but does not include
ultralights, experimental aircraft, and powered gliders; nor does it cover the
new Light Sport Aircraft category. Its coverage is targeted at the production
activity in two of the three tiers that compose the overall general aviation
market.
Fourteen families of large commercial jet transports are forecast in this
study. These 14 families account for nearly 30 individual aircraft models. The
aircraft production forecasts form the basis for the manufacturer market share
forecasts that are also included in this analysis. The forecasts, which are
broken out by aircraft model and engine, are calculated in terms of unit
production and monetary value of production.
This market covers a plethora of platforms, from very light aircraft flown by a single individual to small cargo or VIP transports operated by companies. Personal taste and comfort, therefore, play a more important role in this market than in others; a recreational flier with a Cessna may be more interested in enjoying a pastime than in maximizing fuel efficiency, and a VIP flying on a Learjet may prefer comfort to capacity or performance. The introduction of low-cost very light jets further complicates the market, as private owners can now switch from their existing aircraft to a new one at
The civil rotary-wing aircraft market is highly competitive, with
manufacturers on both sides of the Atlantic battling for market share. Forecast
International defines the light commercial rotorcraft market segment as
including those rotorcraft that fall roughly under 6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb)
in maximum gross weight.
Annual military rotorcraft production is projected to increase in concert
with significant new production in the United States and Europe. The light
military class includes a wide variety of products, ranging from small,
single-engine pistons to light single turbines and light/intermediate twin
turbines.
Forecast International defines the medium/heavy commercial rotorcraft market
segment to include those rotorcraft with maximum takeoff weights of more than
6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb). Rotorcraft with lower MTOWs are covered in our
analysis titled "The Market for Light Commercial Rotorcraft."
Forecast International generally defines a medium/heavy rotorcraft as having
a maximum gross weight greater than or equal to 6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb).
Rotorcraft with a gross weight of less than 15,000 pounds are generally defined
as light rotorcraft.
This analysis covers active programs within the fixed-wing military training
market, including aircraft powered by jet, turboprop, and piston engines. Note
that several aircraft that are often used as trainers are not included within
our market forecast because they do not train the "first and second seaters" who
perform the pilot-in-command or copilot/weapons officer roles in military
aircraft.
This analysis reviews opportunities and ongoing efforts within the rotorcraft upgrade market, defining "rotorcraft" as any aircraft that produces lift exclusively through the use of rotary wings at some stage of flight. These include conventional helicopters with one or two main rotors, be they coaxial or otherwise, as well as newer hybrid designs with multiple flight geometries, such as the V-22 Osprey. Also included are compound helicopters with fixed forward propulsion systems, such as the Sikorsky X2/S-97, Airbus Helicopters X3, and AVX-modified OH-58.
Forecast International defines the market for military transports to include
aircraft that perform one or more military air transportation missions such as
personnel transport, long-range strategic airlift, and short-range tactical
transport, as well as short-haul utility runs. With the exception of a few
models included in the light/utility transport segment, this analysis covers
aircraft that are designed to serve as military transports and excludes aircraft
designed for the civilian market such as commercial airliners, regional jets,
and business jets, all of which typically a
Demand for regional transports continues to shift upward in favor of
ever-larger-capacity aircraft, with demand now centering on 90+ passenger
aircraft. In order to facilitate product comparisons and competitive
evaluation, Forecast International divides the regional aircraft market into
five nominal seating classes. The forecasts contained within this study include
both turbofan-powered and turboprop-powered regional aircraft.
The special mission aircraft is a diverse segment of the military aircraft
market and is essentially a collection of individual markets. Special
mission aircraft are generally designed to support and enhance the effectiveness
of aircraft, naval, and ground forces engaged in combat operations against the
enemy. But this segment does include certain maritime patrol aircraft designed
for direct combat with enemy warships and submarine forces.
This comprehensive database pinpoints quantities and types of over 55,500 commercial fixed-wing aircraft, including engine data for approximately 118,300 engines worldwide,
by operator/owner and country of operation. Our inventory listing also provides the age of each aircraft so that aftermarkets may be identified. Other information includes: aircraft and
engine manufacturer, make & model, type of operator, mission category, phase (active, storage, on order, on option, destruct), and delivery dates for aircraft on order.
This product does not track privately owned aircraft, bizjets,
A detailed listing of over 123,800 commercial and military aircraft,
including data for approximately 240,600 engines worldwide. This authoritative
source provides vital aftermarket information for both the airframe and engine,
such as aircraft make & model, year of build, aircraft type, aircraft phase
(active, storage, on order, on option, destruct), current operator, current
owner, engine make & model, engine type, and engine quantity. This product
does not track privately owned aircraft, bizjets, or commuter aircraft with
fewer than 15 seats. Freighter versions of larg
Clients will have access to the FAA Aircraft Registration Database for one year and can run his own customized queries and downloads of active U.S. registrations.
This authoritative source provides a detailed listing about 68,300 fixed-wing
and rotary-wing aircraft, including data for approximately 122,300 major engine
designations, by country and branch of service. Other vital information
includes: aircraft and engine manufacturer, make & model, mission category,
phase (active, on order), and aircraft quantity, age, and type. This
intelligence is an essential tool for aftermarket suppliers and R&M
providers needing to know which aircraft/engines are candidates for replacement
or modernization. All military aircraft are tracked, in
Trump Administration Moves Space Force Plans Forward
Monday, August 13, 2018
by Bill Ostrove, Space Systems Analyst, Forecast International. With a speech by Vice President Mike Pence, along with an interim report issued by the Pentagon, the U.S. government has begun laying out its plan to create a Space Force as a … Continue reading →
Boeing Increases Production and Insourcing Efforts as Backlog Rises
Monday, August 6, 2018
by Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst, Forecast International. The market for large commercial transports continues to rise following a brief downtick in 2015-2016. At the 2018 Farnborough Airshow, both Airbus and Boeing generated an impressive number of orders … Continue reading →
Biggest Sales Haul in Five Years at 2018 Farnborough Airshow
Monday, July 23, 2018
By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International. The recently concluded Farnborough International Airshow generated an impressive number of orders and other purchase commitments (options, letters of intent, Memoranda of Understanding, etc.) for the world’s commercial aircraft manufacturers. Aircraft orders and commitments … Continue reading →
Remote Sensing Satellite Market Takes Off, Driven by SmallSat Deliveries
Thursday, July 19, 2018
by Bill Ostrove, Space Systems Analyst, Forecast International. Annual deliveries of remote sensing satellites are increasing at high rates. Only 18 remote sensing satellites launched in 2013, but 177 were launched in 2017. This trend can be expected to continue. During … Continue reading →
More than 29,000 Large Jetliners to be Built over 15 Years
Wednesday, July 18, 2018
By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International. Data from Forecast International’s Platinum Forecast System 4.0 indicate that 29,407 large commercial jet transports will be produced in the 15-year period from 2018 through 2032. The value of this production is estimated at … Continue reading →
Airbus and Boeing Report June 2018 Commercial Aircraft Orders and Deliveries
Tuesday, July 17, 2018
Both Companies Report Solid Order Haul Ahead of Farnborough IAS 2018 by J. Kasper Oestergaard, European Correspondent. Boeing and Airbus delivered 82 and 80 commercial jets in June 2018, respectively, compared to 75 and 64 deliveries during the same month … Continue reading →
by Douglas Royce, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International. Boeing announced a mix of aircraft deals during the Farnborough Air Show. Some of the deals were new, others were previously announced by Boeing without identifying the customer. Note that all the … Continue reading →
*Thursday Update* Airbus’ Orders at Farnborough; Scores Commitment for A220s
Monday, July 16, 2018
by Douglas Royce, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International. Airbus announced large orders for the very popular A320neo narrowbody airliner at the Farnborough Air Show along with new orders for the larger A350 XWB widebody and a commitment for the A220. … Continue reading →
Airbus and Boeing to Tout New Tie-ups as Farnborough Begins
Monday, July 16, 2018
By Ray Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International. As usual, the order contest between Airbus and Boeing will take center stage at this year’s Farnborough International Airshow in the U.K. Through the end of June 2018, orders for the two giant manufacturers … Continue reading →
Airbus Rebrands CSeries as A220 Family
Wednesday, July 11, 2018
by Douglas Royce, Senior Aerospace Analyst, Forecast International. Airbus rebadged the Bombardier CSeries jet as the Airbus A220 after taking control of the program on July 1 under a new joint venture between the two manufacturers. The two new models … Continue reading →
