Civil Aircraft Forecast

Overview

Our Civil Aircraft Forecast covers the rivalry between Airbus and Boeing in the large airliner sector; the emergence of new players in the regional aircraft segment looking to compete with Bombardier, Embraer, and ATR; the shifting dynamics within the business jet market as aircraft such as the Bombardier Global 7000, Cessna Hemisphere, and Gulfstream G600 enter service; and the various market factors propelling the general aviation/utility segment as Textron Aviation, Cirrus, Diamond, Piper, and a host of others battle for sales and market share.

An annual subscription includes 70+ individual reports, each with a 10-year unit production forecast. Product comes complete with four Market Segment Analyses, covering the markets for:

Business Jet Aircraft
General Aviation/Utility Aircraft
Large Commercial Jet Transports
Regional Transport Aircraft

Also included are seven appendices providing complementary historical production data, a listing of airliner orders and options, consolidated production statistics tables, and other pertinent complementary data.

Key Findings:

• 2018-2032 global unit production forecast to be 70,581 aircraft, valued at $4.9 trillion.
• Boeing holds the greatest value market share at 44.6%, followed by Airbus at 33.8%

Civil Aircraft Forecast Guides Your Decision-Making by Providing:

• In-depth overviews of principal market motivators and constraints.
• Coverage of the competitive landscape, coupled with strategic insights.
• News on recent developments and on the challenges facing the industry.
• Regional highlights.

Reasons to Buy Our Products and Services:

• FI provides world-class quality results in the most cost-effective way, allowing you to focus strictly on the global market in terms of demand drivers, industry trends, and the latest technological developments.
• Platinum is the only source that provides global 15-year forecasts and 10-year historical data.
• We offer unmatched convenience. Our online and Platinum individual reports, analyses, and appendices are provided in Microsoft^® Word for fast downloading and printing. Our unit and value production forecasts are provided as Excel spreadsheets for easy data manipulation.
• Forecast International stands alone in providing EMarket Alerts on breaking industry news and recent developments as a standard feature of all subscriptions. These Alerts are a popular companion to our market intelligence services.
• Our online market intelligence products and services are available on demand, allowing global access 24/7 via an assigned email address and password.
• We offer online data delivery solutions ranging from single, identified user(s) via email address and password to unlimited worldwide corporate utilization via an exclusive Web portal. Click here for details

Who Should Buy FI Market Intelligence Products and Services?

• Business Development Directors
• CEOs
• Component Suppliers
• Consulting Firms
• Contractors (primary and subcontractors)
• COOs
• Engineers
• Government Entities
• Investment Firms
• OEMs
• Research and Development Firms
• Sales & Marketing Directors
• Vice Presidents

About Forecast International:

• Throughout our 45-year history, the keys to our success have been the ability to acquire highly relevant and current information from diverse sources around the world, and comprehensively process and intelligently interpret the data in order to perform critical, detailed qualitative and quantitative analyses.
• Our proprietary databases, continuously updated, contain vast amounts of exclusive global market intelligence information, technical specifications, and market statistics.
• Forecast International analysts, researchers and consultants bring an unparalleled depth of knowledge and perspective to their work. Our goal is to provide you with the market intelligence you need to make sound business decisions quickly and accurately, in the most cost-effective way.

PRODUCT FEATURES

Program Review – A review of program milestones and significant recent developments.

Production Forecasts – Choose either a 10-year or a 15-year unit and value of production forecast of the probable market by designation/system/program, broken out by year. Our 10-year forecasts are available in Binder, DVD, and Real-Time while our 15-year forecasts are available exclusively in our Platinum Forecast System ^®.

Platinum Forecast System^®– 15-year forecasts presented with 10-years of historical production allow client to select a spectrum of up to 25 years of data. 26 modules to choose from. For more information click here.

Forecast Rationale – Details the reasoning used by the Analyst to derive the numerical forecast.

Timetable – A synopsis of key historical events that have shaped the program, plus anticipated dates of future milestones.

Technical, Performance & Pricing Data – Multi-sourced data is provided in U.S. & International standard measurements, as applicable.

Variants – Detailed descriptions of all system variants and their differences and similarities.

Upgrades – Provides the status of retrofit and modernization programs under way or planned (where applicable).

Contracts – Government/industry contracts that impact sales and production of the subject platform or system.

Funding – For military programs, specific funding appropriated/authorized for RDT&E & production (when available).

Worldwide Distribution – How many have been sold worldwide, and to whom.

Inventories –  Listed by specific designation/variant. Includes quantities by operator/branch of service and count.

Contractors – Primes and subcontractors. Contains contact information (address, phone, fax, Web, email) and system/component manufactured.

Orders & Options – Reported orders, options, cancellations and deferrals, with details on customers and delivery schedule.

ADDITIONAL SERVICE FEATURES 

Market Segment Analyses
Market Segment Analyses explore the key programs and players in niche market segments, and provide a comprehensive review of the competitive dynamics of the individual segments. Typically, Analyses provide an in-depth discussion of the principal market motivators and constraints, unit and value of production forecasts, and numerous tables and graphs depicting the projected market trends and the shares of the participating firms. Each Analysis is accompanied by an MS^® Excel Workbook containing expanded spreadsheets and statistical tables, plus corresponding manufacturer data and supporting graphics.

Supplements and Service Updates
All Intelligence Service reports, analyses and appendices are updated via regular supplementation. In addition, special Interim Updates are issued periodically to cover dynamic program developments.  As an added feature, each supplement is accompanied by a Highlights report summarizing key developments and providing editorial comment and perspective.

Statistical & Graphical MS^® Excel Workbook Presentations
Regardless of the publishing format selected, subscribers to most of our Market Intelligence Services receive consolidated unit and value spreadsheets detailing the production forecasts in MS^® Excel Workbooks.  These invaluable tools provide a cross-section outlook of the market and enable users to perform their own custom calculations. 

Emarket Alert Newsletter
As a subscriber to our Market Intelligence forecast products, you will receive a custom-tailored newsletter providing the latest news on your market of interest. Twice weekly, we will email you a sampling of featured articles. The abstracted articles in this email represent only a portion of the news and information available in our EMarket Alert newsletters.

Query Service - Talk To Our Analysts
Although each of our Market Intelligence Services provides comprehensive market coverage, you may occasionally require additional information or clarification.  Your private “Client Query Number” allows immediate access to our Analysts via email or toll-free phone number.  Contact information for each of the Analysts is provided in supplemental updates that are sent at regular intervals. 

Tab A Lead Sheet Large Transports
	Airbus A319/320/321
	Airbus A330
	Airbus A350 XWB
	Airbus A380
	Boeing 737
	Boeing 747
	Boeing 767
	Boeing 777
	Boeing 787
	COMAC C919
	Ilyushin Il-96
	Irkut MC-21
	Tupolev/Aviastar Tu-204
Tab B Lead Sheet Regional Transports
	Airbus/IAe C-212
	Aircraft Industries L 410/420
	Antonov An-148
	ATR
	Bombardier CRJ Regional Jets
	Bombardier CSeries
	Bombardier Q Series
	Cessna SkyCourier
	COMAC ARJ21
	Embraer 170/175/190/195
	Mitsubishi Regional Jet
	PZL Mielec M28 Series
	RUAG Do 228
	Sukhoi Superjet 100
	Supplemental Programs - Civil Aircraft: Regional Transports
	Viking Air DHC-6 Twin Otter Series 400
	Xi'an MA60/MA700
Tab C Lead Sheet Bizjets
	Boeing 737 BBJ
	Bombardier Challenger 350
	Bombardier Challenger 605/650
	Bombardier Global 5000
	Bombardier Global 6000
	Bombardier Global 7000/8000
	Business Jets Design, Development and Inactive Programs
	Cessna Citation Hemisphere
	Cessna Citation Longitude
	Cessna Citation X
	Cessna Citation XLS/Citation Latitude
	Cessna M2/CJ3/CJ4
	Cessna Mustang
	Cessna Sovereign
	Dassault Falcon 2000
	Dassault Falcon 5X
	Dassault Falcon 900/7X/8X
	Diamond D-JET
	Embraer Legacy 450/500
	Embraer Legacy 650
	Embraer Phenom 100
	Embraer Phenom 300
	Gulfstream G150/G280
	Gulfstream G450
	Gulfstream G500/G600
	Gulfstream G550
	Gulfstream G650
	Honda Aircraft HondaJet
	Learjet 70/75
	ONE Aviation Eclipse 550
	Pilatus PC-24
	SyberJet SJ30
Tab D Lead Sheet General Aviation
	ASI/Continental F406
	Beechcraft King Air Series
	Cessna 208 Caravan
	Cessna Denali
	Daher TBM 910/930
	General Aviation Design, Development and Inactive Programs
	Piaggio P180 Avanti EVO
	Pilatus PC-12
	Pilatus PC-6 Turbo Porter
	Piper M500/M600
	Quest Kodiak
	Supplemental Programs - Civil Aircraft: General Aviation
	Viking Air CL-415
Market Analyses
	Analysis 1 The Market for Large Commercial Jet Transports
	Analysis 2 The Market for Regional Transport Aircraft
	Analysis 3 The Market for Business Jet Aircraft
	Analysis 4 The Market for General Aviation/Utility Aircraft
Appendices
	Appendix I Recommended Websites
	Appendix II Consolidated Production Statistics
	Appendix III Listing of Aircraft by Powerplant
	Appendix IV Civil Aircraft Archives
	Appendix V Civil Aircraft Ten-Year Historical Production
	Appendix VI Major Civil Transport Orders & Options
	Appendix VII Major Civil Transport Inventories

This product provides comprehensive coverage of cargo conversions, re-engining programs, service-life extensions, fleet-wide electronics retrofits, digital cockpit upgrades, and the installation of in-flight entertainment systems. It offers a one-stop service for tracking the status of commercial and military R&M programs in progress worldwide, and pinpoints key developments in the aviation industry that will impact the market in the future.

An annual subscription to this group library comes complete with four Market Intelligence Services containing 230+ individual reports, 18 Market Segment Analyses, 3 Excel spreadsheets containing unit and value production data, and 30 appendices.

Military Aircraft Forecast reports on fixed-wing military aircraft of all types – fighters, military transports, military trainers, and special mission aircraft – worldwide. Full coverage of leading programs such as the Lockheed Martin F-35 Joint Strike Fighter (JSF), the Dassault Rafale, the Saab Gripen, the Airbus A400M, the Beechcraft T-6, the Embraer Super Tucano, the Pilatus PC-21, and the Boeing KC-46A, among others.

Rotorcraft Forecast provides complete coverage of the worldwide rotorcraft market, ranging from two-seat pistons such as the Robinson R22 up to giant turbine helicopters such as the Mil Mi-26. Also included is coverage of tiltrotor aircraft such as the Leonardo AW609 and Bell/Boeing V-22 Osprey. Both the military and civil markets are covered. Due to the nature of present-day conflict, rotorcraft acquisition continues to be a priority for the world's militaries. And the civil market, despite some current difficulties, has considerable long-term potential.

Presented within this market study is a year-by-year production forecast of business jet aircraft currently in production or expected to enter production within the next 10 years. These individual forecasts are the result of an exhaustive macro-level examination of the market as well as a competitive analysis of individual business jet models versus their direct and indirect competitors.

This analysis addresses the upgrade and conversion retrofit market segments as they apply to the commercial and military transport aircraft sectors. It covers primarily planned programs, defined as those for which funding has been allocated, contracts have been awarded, or development is underway. The discussion and computations do not include scheduled maintenance and overhaul.

This Market Segment Analysis is extracted directly from our Airborne Retrofit & Modernization Forecast and is designed to provide insightful analysis of niche segments at economical prices. Clients receive the analysis in PDF format via email. The analysis includes 10-year detailed R&M value pie charts for various segments, including (where applicable) Airframes, Propulsion, Electronics, and Armament. The charts provide data by modification as well as platform. Also provided are in-depth overviews of the principal market motivators and constraints.

Although many countries are cutting their defense budgets, the outlook for fighters remains stable.  Worldwide, industrialized nations are currently in the process of a major re-equipment cycle, and the long-term nature of fighter procurement programs will shelter production of these aircraft from the effects of the financial crisis. This analysis covers the market for fighter aircraft in terms of both units to be produced and the value of the overall market. The market for jet trainers, some of which are also used as attack aircraft, is covered in the Analysis titled "The M

This analysis identifies areas of opportunity in the fighter/attack/trainer aircraft R&M market. In general, the programs most likely to succeed over the next decade are those that are affordable and that offer effective solutions to modern military concerns.

This analysis covers general aviation/utility aircraft but does not include ultralights, experimental aircraft, and powered gliders; nor does it cover the new Light Sport Aircraft category. Its coverage is targeted at the production activity in two of the three tiers that compose the overall general aviation market.

Fourteen families of large commercial jet transports are forecast in this study. These 14 families account for nearly 30 individual aircraft models. The aircraft production forecasts form the basis for the manufacturer market share forecasts that are also included in this analysis. The forecasts, which are broken out by aircraft model and engine, are calculated in terms of unit production and monetary value of production.

This market covers a plethora of platforms, from very light aircraft flown by a single individual to small cargo or VIP transports operated by companies. Personal taste and comfort, therefore, play a more important role in this market than in others; a recreational flier with a Cessna may be more interested in enjoying a pastime than in maximizing fuel efficiency, and a VIP flying on a Learjet may prefer comfort to capacity or performance. The introduction of low-cost very light jets further complicates the market, as private owners can now switch from their existing aircraft to a new one at

The civil rotary-wing aircraft market is highly competitive, with manufacturers on both sides of the Atlantic battling for market share. Forecast International defines the light commercial rotorcraft market segment as including those rotorcraft that fall roughly under 6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb) in maximum gross weight.

Annual military rotorcraft production is projected to increase in concert with significant new production in the United States and Europe.  The light military class includes a wide variety of products, ranging from small, single-engine pistons to light single turbines and light/intermediate twin turbines.

Forecast International defines the medium/heavy commercial rotorcraft market segment to include those rotorcraft with maximum takeoff weights of more than 6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb). Rotorcraft with lower MTOWs are covered in our analysis titled "The Market for Light Commercial Rotorcraft."

Forecast International generally defines a medium/heavy rotorcraft as having a maximum gross weight greater than or equal to 6,804 kilograms (15,000 lb). Rotorcraft with a gross weight of less than 15,000 pounds are generally defined as light rotorcraft.

This analysis covers active programs within the fixed-wing military training market, including aircraft powered by jet, turboprop, and piston engines. Note that several aircraft that are often used as trainers are not included within our market forecast because they do not train the "first and second seaters" who perform the pilot-in-command or copilot/weapons officer roles in military aircraft.

This analysis reviews opportunities and ongoing efforts within the rotorcraft upgrade market, defining "rotorcraft" as any aircraft that produces lift exclusively through the use of rotary wings at some stage of flight. These include conventional helicopters with one or two main rotors, be they coaxial or otherwise, as well as newer hybrid designs with multiple flight geometries, such as the V-22 Osprey. Also included are compound helicopters with fixed forward propulsion systems, such as the Sikorsky X2/S-97, Airbus Helicopters X3, and AVX-modified OH-58.

Forecast International defines the market for military transports to include aircraft that perform one or more military air transportation missions such as personnel transport, long-range strategic airlift, and short-range tactical transport, as well as short-haul utility runs. With the exception of a few models included in the light/utility transport segment, this analysis covers aircraft that are designed to serve as military transports and excludes aircraft designed for the civilian market such as commercial airliners, regional jets, and business jets, all of which typically a

Demand for regional transports continues to shift upward in favor of ever-larger-capacity aircraft, with demand now centering on 90+ passenger aircraft.  In order to facilitate product comparisons and competitive evaluation, Forecast International divides the regional aircraft market into five nominal seating classes. The forecasts contained within this study include both turbofan-powered and turboprop-powered regional aircraft.

The special mission aircraft is a diverse segment of the military aircraft market and is essentially a collection of individual markets.  Special mission aircraft are generally designed to support and enhance the effectiveness of aircraft, naval, and ground forces engaged in combat operations against the enemy. But this segment does include certain maritime patrol aircraft designed for direct combat with enemy warships and submarine forces.

This comprehensive database pinpoints quantities and types of over 55,500 commercial fixed-wing aircraft, including engine data for approximately 118,300 engines worldwide, by operator/owner and country of operation. Our inventory listing also provides the age of each aircraft so that aftermarkets may be identified. Other information includes: aircraft and engine manufacturer, make & model, type of operator, mission category, phase (active, storage, on order, on option, destruct), and delivery dates for aircraft on order. This product does not track privately owned aircraft, bizjets,

A detailed listing of over 123,800 commercial and military aircraft, including data for approximately 240,600 engines worldwide. This authoritative source provides vital aftermarket information for both the airframe and engine, such as aircraft make & model, year of build, aircraft type, aircraft phase (active, storage, on order, on option, destruct), current operator, current owner, engine make & model, engine type, and engine quantity. This product does not track privately owned aircraft, bizjets, or commuter aircraft with fewer than 15 seats. Freighter versions of larg

Clients will have access to the FAA Aircraft Registration Database for one year and can run his own customized queries and downloads of active U.S. registrations.

This authoritative source provides a detailed listing about 68,300 fixed-wing and rotary-wing aircraft, including data for approximately 122,300 major engine designations, by country and branch of service. Other vital information includes: aircraft and engine manufacturer, make & model, mission category, phase (active, on order), and aircraft quantity, age, and type. This intelligence is an essential tool for aftermarket suppliers and R&M providers needing to know which aircraft/engines are candidates for replacement or modernization. All military aircraft are tracked, in

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