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Contact: Richard Pettibone, Aerospace & Defense Companies Analyst
Phone: (203) 426-0800
Fax: (203) 426-4262
Forecast International, Inc.
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA


Defense Firms See Strong Growth Potential as Upswing Begins

NEWTOWN, Conn. [July 18, 2017] – As defense markets continue to adapt to dynamic economic and political forces, the major players continue to hold their entrenched positions.

Leading the market for commercial communications satellites in terms of value over the next 15 years will be Boeing, Thales Alenia, MacDonald, Dettwiler and Associates (MDA – which purchased Space Systems / Loral), Airbus Defence and Space, and Lockheed Martin.

"Regional turmoil in parts of the Middle East, Europe and Asia continue to drive the need for more spending," said Forecast International Defense & Aerospace Companies analyst Richard Pettibone. "Further, international sales for many firms are set to expand, driven by fear over the Islamic State (also known as ISIS), a more bellicose Russia, and regional pressures from China and North Korea."

These issues are key drivers of recent spending increases in the U.S. According to government transparency site, the U.S. government awarded a total of $473.8 billion in contracts in FY16, up 8.2 percent from $437.9 billion in FY15. Of this $473.8 billion, $303.7 billion, almost 64 percent, was awarded by the Department of Defense.

Recently, the General Services Administration's U.S. Federal Procurement Data System - Next Generation released its annual Top 100 Federal Contractors report - Fiscal Year 2016. The top 10 federal contractors accounted for $140 billion of the obligated dollars, with Lockheed Martin at the top with $43.4 billion (9.1% of the total), followed by Boeing with $26.5 billion (5.6% of the total).

With a new U.S. administration in charge, many defense companies are adopting a wait-and-see attitude in regard to future spending priorities. The consensus is one of guarded optimism that sequester will be revisited and defense expenditures will rise dramatically.

"Initially, companies such as Lockheed Martin and Boeing were taken to task over high-profile programs such as the Lockheed Martin F-35 and Boeing 747 Air Force One," Pettibone said. "But in the subsequent months following the start of President Trump's administration, the rhetoric has toned down and defense spending is now set for an upswing."

According to Forecast International's Defense & Aerospace Companies reports, growth isn't limited to U.S. markets. The Trump administration has also caused a ripple effect in defense spending among European allies that should see firms such as Airbus, BAE Systems, and Leonardo benefit in the years ahead.

In Asia, many governments are facing a variety of threats, most notably from North Korea. As a result, defense spending on new programs in Japan and South Korea is on the rise. Standing to benefit from this growth are firms such as Mitsubishi Heavy Industries and Kawasaki in Japan as well as Hanwha and Korea Aerospace Industries in South Korea.

Perhaps most importantly, many of these firms will be seeking to bulk up their cybersecurity operations. Almost every major defense firm in the U.S. has added operations related to this sector over the past five years. With Internet-based attacks now a daily occurrence, this market will continue to experience strong growth for the firms that can deliver in the years ahead.

About Forecast International
Forecast International, Inc. is a leading provider of Market Intelligence and Analysis in the areas of aerospace, defense, power systems and military electronics. Based in Newtown, Conn., USA, the company specializes in long-range industry forecasts and market assessments used by strategic planners, marketing professionals, military organizations, and governments worldwide. Forecast International also maintains a high posture of situational awareness and geopolitical analysis. Forecast International's resources and extensive base of experience can also be readily adapted and efficiently focused to fulfill a broad spectrum of civil and military consulting and special research requirements. The company is increasingly performing proprietary consulting studies in support of the diverse markets it covers.


Contact Information
Ray Peterson
Vice President, Research & Editorial Services
Forecast International
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA
(203) 426-0800

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