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FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS $213 BILLION REGIONAL MARKET OVER 15 YEARS
Sep 26, 2017
FULL SPEED AHEAD FOR ANTI-SHIP MISSILE MARKET
Sep 13, 2017
AIRCRAFT CARRIERS MARK GROWTH OF REGIONAL NAVIES
Sep 12, 2017
TWO SHIP COLLISIONS RAISE QUESTIONS
Aug 24, 2017
RISING TENSIONS IN THE KOREAN PENINSULA HIGHLIGHT THAAD MISSILE'S KEY ROLE
Aug 10, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL LAUNCHES IMPROVED U.S. DEFENSE BUDGET DATABASE
Aug 08, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: BOEING ON A ROLL; BOTH CIVIL AND MILITARY MARKETS REMAIN STRONG
Aug 01, 2017
DEFENSE FIRMS SEE STRONG GROWTH POTENTIAL AS UPSWING BEGINS
Jul 18, 2017
COMMERCIAL COMSAT MAKERS CASHING IN ON HOT MARKET
Jul 12, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: 15-YEAR WORLD AVIATION TURBOSHAFT MARKET WORTH $34 BILLION
Jun 20, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS $4.15 TRILLION LARGE JETLINER MARKET OVER 15 YEARS
Jun 19, 2017
FOLLOWING U.S. ATTACK ON SYRIAN AIR BASE, FI OFFERING DETAILED TOMAHAWK CRUISE MISSILE REPORT
Apr 07, 2017
POLITICS TO AFFECT SHAPE OF U.S. DEFENSE ELECTRONICS MARKET
Mar 28, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: HIGHER DEFENSE BUDGETS LIKELY TO GIVE MEDIUM/HEAVY MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET A LIFT
Mar 07, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL ISSUES 'LAUNCH VEHICLES: YEAR IN REVIEW 2016.' STAGE SET FOR RENEWED ACTIVITY IN 2017
Jan 30, 2017
FPSO CONSTRUCTION POWERING MECHANICAL DRIVE MARKET
Dec 13, 2016
ROLLS-ROYCE RULES THE NAVAL GAS TURBINE MARKET
Dec 12, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL RELEASES VERSION 3.1 OF ITS PLATINUM FORECAST SYSTEM
Dec 07, 2016
BUSINESS JET MARKET TO RESUME POSITIVE GROWTH TREND
Oct 31, 2016
SHORT-TERM GROWTH PROJECTED FOR LIGHT MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET AIRBUS HELICOPTERS TO LEAD MARKET
Oct 13, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS A WORLD MARKET FOR 5,480 INDUSTRIAL POWER GENERATING GAS TURBINE ENGINES WORTH $105 BILLION OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS
Oct 05, 2016

Press Release

Contact: William N. Ostrove, Aerospace Systems Analyst
Phone: (203) 426-0800
Fax: (203) 426-4262
Website: www.forecastinternational.com
E-mail: bill.ostrove@forecast1.com
Forecast International, Inc.
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Forecast International Issues 'Launch Vehicles: Year in Review 2016.' Stage Set for Renewed Activity in 2017

NEWTOWN, Conn. [January 30, 2017] – Forecast International has released a blog report of all space launches in 2016. The report summarizes the number of launches and payloads carried, and breaks down the launch market by manufacturer and country.

Highlights in 2016 include the first launch of the Chinese Long March 5, a successful return of multiple Falcon 9 first stages, the return to flight of Orbital ATK's Antares and Pegasus rockets, and the emergence of India's Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV) on the international commercial launch market.

According to the report, "Launch numbers in 2016, like those in 2015, were down from a high point in 2014." Only 85 rockets lifted off in 2016, compared to 87 in 2015 and 95 in 2014. However, the report's author, William Ostrove, notes that "while the number of launches declined, the success rate remained steady – holding at about 96 percent over the past five years."

In 2016, the number of payloads launched also declined. In the four previous years, the number of payloads carried had risen as a result of the proliferation of small satellites. However, the grounding of launch vehicles popular with small satellite operators reduced the number of payloads carried per launch from 3.0 in 2015 to 2.5 in 2016. But despite the drop in 2016, Ostrove said that the decline in payloads is not expected to last. The Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO) plans to carry over 100 payloads on a single launch, while Spaceflight Industries will carry 89 in another flight. The upcoming introduction of dedicated launch vehicles to carry small satellites, such as Virgin Galactic's LauncherOne and Rocket Lab's Electron, will provide additional slots for small satellite operators.

Russia's Soyuz was the most popular launch vehicle in 2016, as it has been for decades. Other popular launch vehicles identified in the report are the Falcon 9, a relative newcomer to the market; China's Long March 2; ULA's Atlas V; the Ariane 5; the Long March 3; and the PSLV. One launch vehicle that has declined in popularity in recent years is Russia's Proton. Ostrove says that "problems within the Russian launch industry have reduced the reliability of the rocket, and commercial customers have responded by switching to competitors like the Ariane 5 and Falcon 9."

China and the U.S. dominated the launch market in 2016, splitting 52 percent of all launches. Russia came in third, with launch numbers declining due to the industry problems mentioned above. The report indicates that in the U.S., multiple manufacturers compete for market share. However, the Chinese market is dominated by state-owned CAST.

The report wraps up with a brief look at what will happen in 2017. Forecast International expects a rise in the number of small payloads lifted into orbit, following the decline in 2016. The new year will also witness the continued development of reusable launch vehicles at SpaceX and Blue Origin. Finally, the U.S. and China are expected to continue to dominate the launch industry as China pushes ahead with its ambitious space exploration plans, and the rise of entrepreneurial companies continues in the U.S.

To access the report, visit http://blog.forecastinternational.com/wordpress/launch-vehicles-year-in-review-2016/#more-2336.

 


Contact Information
Ray Peterson
Vice President, Research & Editorial Services
Forecast International
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA
(203) 426-0800
ray.peterson@forecast1.com.



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