Press Release
Contact: Raymond Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst
Phone: (203) 426-0800
Web site: www.forecastinternational.com
E-mail:
ray.jaworowski@forecast1.com
Forecast International, Inc.
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
New Models Driving Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft
Production
NEWTOWN, Conn. [March 27, 2008] —
In a new study, “The Market for Medium/Heavy Military Rotorcraft,”
Forecast International projects that a total of 3,706 rotorcraft will be
produced in this market segment from 2008 through 2017. The value of this
production is estimated at $84 billion.
Forecast International generally defines “medium/heavy”
military rotorcraft as those having a maximum gross weight of at least 6,804
kilograms (15,000 lb). The market for these machines is expected to be quite
dynamic over the next few years, and the new Forecast International study
details the various factors and trends that are affecting and driving this
market.
Manufacturers are busy ramping up production of several new
medium/heavy military rotorcraft, including all-new models as well as upgraded
variants of older rotorcraft types. The all-new models are mainly non-U.S.
designs, a fact that reflects the relative lack of new-start development
programs put into place in years past by the U.S. military. In addressing its
rotorcraft requirements, the U.S. military has mostly preferred buying new
versions of helicopters already in its fleet rather than pursuing the often
lengthy and costly development of new designs.
In response, U.S. manufacturers have understandably tended
to concentrate their development energies on the upgrades for which the U.S.
military was calling. However, as Forecast International senior aerospace
analyst Raymond Jaworowski notes, “The result is that new versions of older U.S.
helicopters now often compete on the world market with all-new designs from
non-U.S. manufacturers.”
This trend may be starting to change, though. The U.S. Army
now has two new-start development programs in its long-term plans: the Joint
Heavy Lift (JHL) rotorcraft and the Joint Multi-Role (JMR) rotorcraft. The JHL
program in particular is already serving as an impetus for development efforts
at U.S. rotorcraft companies. The JHL rotorcraft is envisioned as a successor
to the Army’s CH-47F transport, while the JMR rotorcraft would replace various
utility and attack helicopters in the service’s fleet.
Market share projections contained in the new Forecast
International study indicate that Sikorsky will lead the medium/heavy military
rotorcraft market during the 2008-2017 time period in both unit production and
value of production. NH Industries, a European consortium that produces the
NH90 multirole helicopter, is projected to be second in unit production and
third in value of production during the timeframe. Participants in NH
Industries are Eurocopter, AgustaWestland, and Stork Fokker. Second place in
value of production for the 2008-2017 period goes to the partnership between Bell
and Boeing that builds the V-22 tiltrotor aircraft.
Forecast International, Inc. is a leading provider of Market
Intelligence and Analysis in the areas of aerospace, defense, power systems and
military electronics. Based in Newtown, Conn., USA, Forecast
International specializes in long-range industry forecasts and market
assessments used by strategic planners, marketing professionals, military
organizations, and governments worldwide. To arrange an interview with
Forecast International’s editors, please contact Ray Peterson (203-426-0800, ray.peterson@forecast1.com).