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FPSO CONSTRUCTION POWERING MECHANICAL DRIVE MARKET
Dec 13, 2016
ROLLS-ROYCE RULES THE NAVAL GAS TURBINE MARKET
Dec 12, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL RELEASES VERSION 3.1 OF ITS PLATINUM FORECAST SYSTEM
Dec 07, 2016
BUSINESS JET MARKET TO RESUME POSITIVE GROWTH TREND
Oct 31, 2016
SHORT-TERM GROWTH PROJECTED FOR LIGHT MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET AIRBUS HELICOPTERS TO LEAD MARKET
Oct 13, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS A WORLD MARKET FOR 5,480 INDUSTRIAL POWER GENERATING GAS TURBINE ENGINES WORTH $105 BILLION OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS
Oct 05, 2016
REGIONAL AIRCRAFT MARKET STABILIZING; LONG-TERM GROWTH PROJECTED
Sep 23, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: INSATIABLE DEMAND FOR DATA AND CONNECTIVITY DRIVE COMMERCIAL SATELLITE MARKET
Sep 12, 2016
GLOBAL DEFENSE MARKET ON UPSWING AS ASIA SPEARHEADS GROWTH
Sep 08, 2016
FROM CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE TO TOTAL WAR – THE FLOW OF INFORMATION REMAINS PROFITABLE
Sep 01, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: 15-YEAR WORLD AVIATION GAS TURBINE MARKET WORTH A STAGGERING $1.2 TRILLION
Aug 22, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS NAVAL RADAR MARKET WORTH MORE THAN $13 BILLION OVER 10 YEARS
Jul 18, 2016
SMALLSATS PLAY GROWING ROLE IN $29 BILLION REMOTE SENSING SATELLITE MARKET
Jul 13, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: F-35 LIGHTNING II TO DOMINATE FIGHTER MARKET
Jul 12, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS $2.74 TRILLION LARGE JETLINER MARKET OVER NEXT 10 YEARS
Jul 11, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL EXPECTS AIRBUS AND BOEING BACKLOGS WILL DECLINE IN 2016
Jun 16, 2016
U.S. NAVY'S NEXT-GEN JAMMER TO LEAD 10-YEAR, $5 BILLION ELECTRONIC ATTACK MARKET
Jun 06, 2016
ELECTRONICS CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE LANDSCAPE, WHILE SLEP LOOMS AS A PRIORITY FOR THE FIGHTER/ATTACK/TRAINER R&M MARKET
May 09, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL SEES SYRIAN CONFLICT DRIVING NEIGHBORS' SECURITY POSTURES
Mar 28, 2016
U.S. DEFENSE ELECTRONICS – SIGNS OF GROWTH AS BUDGETS REMAIN TIGHT
Mar 21, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: CHANGES IN COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE HIGHLIGHT MEDIUM/HEAVY MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET
Feb 22, 2016

Press Release

Contact: Raymond Jaworowski, Senior Aerospace Analyst
Phone: (203) 426-0800
Fax: (203) 426-4262
Website: www.forecastinternational.com
E-mail: ray.jaworowski@forecast1.com
Forecast International, Inc.
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Regional Aircraft Market Stabilizing; Long-Term Growth Projected

NEWTOWN, Conn., Sept. 23, 2016 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Forecast International has issued a new study on "The Market for Regional Transport Aircraft" that projects that 3,817 regional aircraft will be produced from 2016 through 2025. This total includes both regional jets and regional turboprop airliners. The value of this production is estimated at $135.2 billion in constant 2016 U.S. dollars.

According to the Forecast International study, the regional aircraft market is stabilizing following a period of several years of erratic swings in yearly production. The study predicts that annual output will remain relatively flat in 2016 and 2017 at just over 340 units each year. The longer-term outlook, though, is more bullish, as annual production is projected to reach more than 420 units by the year 2025.

This growth will be fueled by the production ramp-ups of such new regional jetliner models as the Bombardier CS100, the Embraer E2 family, and the Mitsubishi MRJ90. According to Forecast International senior aerospace analyst Raymond Jaworowski, "Overall demand in the regional jet market is already moving toward larger-capacity aircraft, but the overall potential of the segment continues to be hampered by scope clause restrictions in the U.S. market."

With a minor exception for a few pre-existing 86-seaters flown by American Airlines partners, scope clauses at all three U.S. legacy carriers prohibit their regional partners from operating any aircraft larger than 76 seats. Relaxation of the size and weight restrictions in U.S. scope clauses will have to wait until pilot contracts begin to come up for renewal or amendment toward the end of this decade. Jaworowski noted, "The weight restriction is even more critical than the seating limit." Aircraft are currently limited to a maximum takeoff weight of 86,000 pounds or less. While they can be configured with 76 seats, certain of the new jetliners now in development nevertheless exceed the 86,000-pound limit.

Even with the current scope clause restrictions in place, though, the market for 90-seat and larger regional jets is hardly moribund. Regional jets of this size will be acquired in quantity by regional airlines unencumbered by scope clause, low-fare carriers, and even major airlines.

Meanwhile, the persistence of low fuel prices has started to impact the turboprop market, softening demand for these fuel-efficient aircraft. Oil prices have increased somewhat since early 2016, though, and can be expected to continue to gradually rise, thus helping to buoy this segment of the regional aircraft market.

The Forecast International study also includes manufacturer market share projections. Based on unit production, Embraer, ATR, Bombardier, and Mitsubishi are projected to be the leading regional aircraft manufacturers during the 2016-2025 forecast period. Embraer is projected to build 959 regional jetliners during the timeframe. ATR is expected to produce 783 regional turboprops. Bombardier, which produces both jets and turboprops, is forecast to build 591 regional aircraft. Mitsubishi is projected to produce 437 regional jets.

About Forecast International

Forecast International, Inc. is a leading provider of Market Intelligence and Analysis in the areas of aerospace, defense, power systems and military electronics. Based in Newtown, Conn., USA, Forecast International specializes in long-range industry forecasts and market assessments used by strategic planners, marketing professionals, military organizations, and governments worldwide. Forecast International's resources and extensive base of experience can be readily adapted and efficiently focused to fulfill a broad spectrum of civil and military consulting and special research requirements.

 


Contact Information
Ray Peterson
Vice President, Research & Editorial Services
Forecast International
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA
(203) 426-0800
ray.peterson@forecast1.com.



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