Shopping Cart  |  Intelligence Center


HOME PRODUCTS & SERVICES MEDIA CENTER CONSULTING SERVICES DEMOS LOG IN CONTACT US

FOLLOWING U.S. ATTACK ON SYRIAN AIR BASE, FI OFFERING DETAILED TOMAHAWK CRUISE MISSILE REPORT
Apr 07, 2017
POLITICS TO AFFECT SHAPE OF U.S. DEFENSE ELECTRONICS MARKET
Mar 28, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: HIGHER DEFENSE BUDGETS LIKELY TO GIVE MEDIUM/HEAVY MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET A LIFT
Mar 07, 2017
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL ISSUES 'LAUNCH VEHICLES: YEAR IN REVIEW 2016.' STAGE SET FOR RENEWED ACTIVITY IN 2017
Jan 30, 2017
FPSO CONSTRUCTION POWERING MECHANICAL DRIVE MARKET
Dec 13, 2016
ROLLS-ROYCE RULES THE NAVAL GAS TURBINE MARKET
Dec 12, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL RELEASES VERSION 3.1 OF ITS PLATINUM FORECAST SYSTEM
Dec 07, 2016
BUSINESS JET MARKET TO RESUME POSITIVE GROWTH TREND
Oct 31, 2016
SHORT-TERM GROWTH PROJECTED FOR LIGHT MILITARY ROTORCRAFT MARKET AIRBUS HELICOPTERS TO LEAD MARKET
Oct 13, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PREDICTS A WORLD MARKET FOR 5,480 INDUSTRIAL POWER GENERATING GAS TURBINE ENGINES WORTH $105 BILLION OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS
Oct 05, 2016
REGIONAL AIRCRAFT MARKET STABILIZING; LONG-TERM GROWTH PROJECTED
Sep 23, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: INSATIABLE DEMAND FOR DATA AND CONNECTIVITY DRIVE COMMERCIAL SATELLITE MARKET
Sep 12, 2016
GLOBAL DEFENSE MARKET ON UPSWING AS ASIA SPEARHEADS GROWTH
Sep 08, 2016
FROM CIVIL DISOBEDIENCE TO TOTAL WAR – THE FLOW OF INFORMATION REMAINS PROFITABLE
Sep 01, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: 15-YEAR WORLD AVIATION GAS TURBINE MARKET WORTH A STAGGERING $1.2 TRILLION
Aug 22, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS NAVAL RADAR MARKET WORTH MORE THAN $13 BILLION OVER 10 YEARS
Jul 18, 2016
SMALLSATS PLAY GROWING ROLE IN $29 BILLION REMOTE SENSING SATELLITE MARKET
Jul 13, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL: F-35 LIGHTNING II TO DOMINATE FIGHTER MARKET
Jul 12, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL PROJECTS $2.74 TRILLION LARGE JETLINER MARKET OVER NEXT 10 YEARS
Jul 11, 2016
FORECAST INTERNATIONAL EXPECTS AIRBUS AND BOEING BACKLOGS WILL DECLINE IN 2016
Jun 16, 2016
U.S. NAVY'S NEXT-GEN JAMMER TO LEAD 10-YEAR, $5 BILLION ELECTRONIC ATTACK MARKET
Jun 06, 2016
ELECTRONICS CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE LANDSCAPE, WHILE SLEP LOOMS AS A PRIORITY FOR THE FIGHTER/ATTACK/TRAINER R&M MARKET
May 09, 2016

Press Release

Forecast International Sees Syrian Conflict Driving Neighbors' Security Postures

NEWTOWN, Conn. [March 28, 2016] — A third round of Syria political negotiations has begun in Geneva, but the conflict in Syria remains a key security concern for the country's neighbors.

Syria's neighbors foresee instability along their borders for the immediate future. Regardless of the results of the negotiations, Iraq's fight to regain its territory from the so-called Islamic State (IS) will continue on, while the other countries will maintain a cautious approach to the non-state actors on their borders.

"Israel has to contend with Hezbollah activity near the Golan Heights, which is of primary concern," said FI's Middle East Analyst, Derek Bisaccio. "At the same time, the IDF (Israel Defense Forces) needs to keep a close eye on the Yarmouk Martyrs Brigade, an Islamic State affiliate that controls part of the border with Israel and has recently gained ground against rebel factions in the area."

Turkey, Jordan, and Lebanon all have Islamic State or affiliate groups on their borders with Syria. Lebanon's border includes territory controlled by al-Qaeda's Syrian branch, which has carried out terror attacks inside Lebanese cities. Ankara is worried about the expansion of the Kurdish People's Protection Units, whose political wing, the Democratic Union Party (PYD), recently voted along with other local parties to create a federal zone in northern Syria.

To address the instability, Forecast International expects that of the five countries bordering Syria, four will spend more on defense in 2016 than in 2015. The defense expenditures of Lebanon, Turkey, and Jordan will increase by a combined average of 2.85 percent. Iraq's defense budget could see a jump of over 12 percent.

Israel, meanwhile, will spend slightly less this year compared to the previous year, but over Defense Minister Moshe Ya'alon's firm objections. Officially, the Defense Ministry will receive around ILS56 billion ($14.4 billion). Ya'alon was able to negotiate to receive more in allocations after arguing that the official amount was insufficient.

The scope of the security threat and the varied types of hardware required to respond to the threat together ensure that military acquisitions will be a priority for these countries.

"Iraq's procurements will focus on equipping the Army with light and medium weapons, and also on acquiring demining devices to clear improvised explosive devices left behind in places like Ramadi," noted Bisaccio. "For Jordan, the military can utilize newly acquired helicopters, such as Cobra combat helicopters and Black Hawks, to further protect its borders from militant groups."

European Union and American defense firms, in particular, will benefit from sales as Syria's neighbors seek to increase their readiness and capabilities. Following Moscow's intervention in the Syrian conflict, Russian systems may also see increased attention.

"Russian officials have touted the Syrian campaign as demonstrating the effectiveness of their military systems in a modern conflict," said Bisaccio. "Russian fighter jets and other aircraft aided the Syrian Army in taking ground in Aleppo, Latakia, Daraa, and elsewhere in the country. Moscow's T-90 tanks, meanwhile, proved far more resilient than the Syrian Army's vehicles to the anti-tank guided missiles in the hands of militant groups."

Even if a political solution can be reached in Geneva, the situation in Syria is likely to remain unstable. IS still controls large amounts of territory and al-Qaeda group Jabhat al-Nusra is unlikely to lay down its arms. The PYD's declaration of a federal zone is at odds with both the government and the opposition. These factors continue to make Syria a potential destabilizer for the region, necessitating higher defense expenditures and more military procurements out of its neighbors.


About Forecast International

Forecast International, Inc. is a leading provider of Market Intelligence and Analysis in the areas of aerospace, defense, power systems and military electronics. Based in Newtown, Conn., USA, Forecast International specializes in long-range industry forecasts and market assessments used by strategic planners, marketing professionals, military organizations, and governments worldwide. Forecast International's resources and extensive base of experience can be readily adapted and efficiently focused to fulfill a broad spectrum of civil and military consulting and special research requirements.


Contact Information
Ray Peterson
Vice President, Research & Editorial Services
Forecast International
22 Commerce Rd. Newtown, CT 06470 USA
(203) 426-0800
ray.peterson@forecast1.com.



HOME PRODUCTS & SERVICES MEDIA CENTER CONTACT US PRIVACY STATEMENT TERMS AND CONDITIONS

Forecast International © 2017 22 Commerce Rd Newtown, CT 06470 USA Phone: 203.426.0800 Toll-Free: 800.451.4975 (USA & Canada) Fax: 203.426.0223 info@forecast1.com